Middle East shock hits global growth and prices
by Ben Poole
Global business activity lost momentum sharply in March as the war in the Middle East rattled demand, confidence, supply chains and pricing.
Interest rate
Global PMIs flash warning as war drives inflation spike and stalls growth
by Ben Poole
A surge in inflation and a clear loss of growth momentum has begun to filter through the global economy.
Firmer output meets cautious hiring in January PMIs
by Ben Poole
Global economic activity shows a modest but broad-based improvement at the start of 2026.
EY upgrades UK growth forecast to 1.5% for 2025
by Ben Poole
EY has upgraded its forecast for UK GDP growth in 2025 from 1% to 1.5% after economy showed greater momentum than expected.
Cost pressures mount as UK CFOs retreat from investment
by Ben Poole
UK finance leaders are entering Q4 in a cautious mood, with cost expectations rising sharply and profit forecasts falling to multi-year lows.
Growth holds but confidence slips in September’s flash PMI data
by Ben Poole
Across the Eurozone, UK, and US, services have largely propped up activity, while manufacturing shows renewed fragility.
Trump in UK as Fed trims rates and BoE stays put
by Ben Poole
The Fed delivered its first interest rate cut of 2025, while the BoE opted to hold rates steady at 4%.
US growth heats up while Europe and UK tread carefully
by Ben Poole
Private sector growth in August 2025 picked up across major developed economies.
BoE cuts rates to 4% as growth falters and inflation picture shifts
by Ben Poole
In a closely split decision, the BoE made its third rate cut in the past 12 months.
Growth slows and inflation builds as global PMIs diverge
by Ben Poole
Business activity across the UK, Eurozone and US showed diverging trajectories in May.
UK CFOs turn defensive as geopolitical risks and cost pressures mount
by Ben Poole
Finance leaders at the UK’s largest businesses have entered 2025 with a markedly defensive outlook.
March PMI data sees resilient demand meet rising caution
by Ben Poole
While private sector output improved in the US, Eurozone and UK, confidence in the economic outlook continued to falter.
Probability of recession now 35% - J.P. Morgan - TREASURY NEWS #138
by CTM News Team
Discussing treasury news: ransomware surge, recession risk, FX innovation, and rising oil prices.
US Fed Chair Powell signals ‘Time has come’ to lower interest rates - Industry roundup: 26 August
by Pushpendra Mehta , Executive Writer, CTMfile
US Federal Reserve Chair Powell indicates interest rate cuts ahead
Ninety countries join e-commerce initiative – Industry roundup: 30 July
by Graham Buck
Three rate decisions awaited; Russia hikes rates to 18%; Supply chain shortage dents Porsche; Slovenia first EU nation to issue sovereign digital bond
FX headwinds grew in Q1, reports Kyriba – Industry roundup: 25 July
by Graham Buck
JCI-Hitachi in US$8.1bn JV sale to Bosch; BofE changes tack on liquidity management; Hungary cuts key interest rates; Revolut wins UK banking licence
China surprises with interest rate cut – Industry roundup 23 July
by Graham Buck
China to raise retirement age; ANZ launches real-time payments; Singapore commits US$74m for AI in finance; Bank of Canada expected to cut rates
HSBC names CFO as its new chief – Industry roundup: 18 July
by Graham Buck
Tokenised US Treasurys ʺcould hit US$3bnʺ; Indonesia keeps rates on hold; Klarna mulls US IPO for 2025; ADB, AIIB fund Indian solar power project
Hong Kong and France join forces on CBDCs – Industry roundup: 4 July
by Graham Buck
EIB funds North Sea wind farm; MSCI and Moody’s form ESG partnership; New facility to boost Africa trade; SMBC Aviation Capital raises US$1.5 billion
KPMG predicts upturn for UK economy – Industry roundup: 2 July
by Graham Buck
IFRS and IFC partner on sustainability; China’s PBOC plans to borrow bonds; BlackRock pays US$3.22bn for Preqin; Greece introduces six-day workweek
VW shares electric dreams with Rivian – Industry roundup: 27 June
by Graham Buck
US big banks pass Fed's stress test; ECB turns down new euro members; 'Great Resignation' continues, says PwC; Australia's inflation higher
EU delays Basel bank trading reforms to January 2026 – Industry roundup: 20 June
by Graham Buck
UK inflation hits 2% target; Fitch predicts 7.2% growth for India; IMF assesses Middle East CBDCs; Sustainable food supply chains project
UK business investment trails other G7 members – Industry roundup: 18 June
by Graham Buck
BNY Mellon rebrands; Canada, ADB launch C$360m climate fund; Yale team focuses on improving supply chains; Moody's warns on Pakistan's debt
Fed dampens US rate cut expectations – Industry roundup: 13 June
by Graham Buck
Brazil inflation setback; Technical glitch hits RBI facility; BlackRock “seeks private-debt partners”; HSBC boosts stake in China JV