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UK: debit cards to overtake cash payments by 2021

A new report, UK Payment Markets 2016 by Payments UK*, shows that there were 72,000 payments every minute in the UK in 2015 by consumers and businesses - totalling more than 38 billion payments. By 2025 this will go up to 79,044 payments every minute (or 42 billion in the year), with increasing card usage playing a major part.    

Cash is still king but will be overtaken by 2021

Cash was still the most popular payment method in 2015 accounting for roughly half (45.1%) of all payments. However it is predicted that by 2025 notes and coins will drop to being used for just over one in four (27%) payments. The tipping point for the most popular payment method will be reached in 2021 when 14.5 billion debit card payments are predicted, overtaking the forecast 13.0 billion cash payments for the first time. 

Cards dominate from 2025

Using detailed analysis of existing payment data, technological and behavioural trends Payments UK also forecasts another landmark in 2025, when credit, debit and charge cards will account for more than half of all payments made (50.2%) – driven in large part by the increasing popularity of contactless.

Consumer payments

The average UK adult made 20 card payments per month in 2015, of which around one in 10 were contactless. By 2025 we are predicted to use a debit, credit or charge card virtually every day (30 times per month) and almost half of these transactions - 14 per month - will be contactless.  Further, many of these payments may be made using a mobile phone, without consumers needing to carry their plastic cards with them.

Faster Payments Service - continuous growth expected

Driven by the increasing popularity of online and mobile banking, continued growth is also predicted in the Faster Payments Service which is used to process these payments. In 2015 over two-thirds of adults regularly used online banking, and a third used mobile banking. This contributed to 903 million one-off and forward-dated Faster Payments being sent, with a further 344 million standing orders processed using the service. These payments will more than double over the next 10 years, with 1.9 billion one-off and forward-dated payments forecast to be made in 2025.

Usage of the payment services

The UK Payment Markets 2016 report also showed that:

  • more than five out of six (85%) current account holders used Direct Debits in 2015, and 3.9 billion payments were made by Direct Debit in the UK, worth a total of £1,215 billion. However, limited growth is expected over the next ten years, with 4.3 billion payments forecast in 2025.
  • 13% fewer cheques were written in 2015 compared to a year earlier, but this still resulted in more than 546 million cheque payments in the year, showing they are still valued as a convenient and secure method of payment by those who choose to use them
  • in value terms, the CHAPS payment scheme, which is used primarily for wholesale financial and corporate treasury payments, accounted for £68.4 trillion – or more than 90% of the total value across all payment types. 

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* UK Payment Markets 2016, is available to order from Payments UK from today. A free summary of highlights from the report is available here.

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