The three main risks in the EU financial system
by Kylene Casanova
The Joint Committee of the European Supervisory Authorities (ESAs) have published a report highlighting three main risks in the European financial system. The Spring 2016 Report on Risks and Vulnerabilities in the EU Financial System sets out the following risks:
- Low profitability of financial institutions in a low yield environment. Yields in Europe remain at historical lows and risks concerning the low profitability of financial entities pose key concerns to the EU financial system. As financial institutions intend to reduce costs and adjust their business models, forward-looking supervisory approaches to scrutinise business model sustainability are needed. A proactive stance to address still high stocks of non-performing loans at banks in some regions is also needed.
- Increasing interconnectedness of bank and non-bank entities. Over the past five years the role of non-bank and non-insurance financial institutions has increased. The interconnectedness between different entities represents a potential channel for the propagation of shocks. The Joint Committee believes that this risk should be tackled through enhanced supervisory monitoring of concentration risks, cross border exposures and regulatory arbitrage.
- Potential contagion from China and other emerging markets. After a decade of positive contribution to the global economic growth, economic activity in China and other emerging markets has started to recede. The Joint Committee calls on national supervisors to include emerging market risk in sensitivity analyses or stress tests and to scrutinise optimistic assumptions of financial institutions with regard to emerging market exposure and returns from emerging market business.
The ESAs comprise the European Banking Authority (EBA), the European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA) and the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA).
CTMfile Take: Brexit may be overshadowing concerns about the European economy for British CFOs (see 53% of British CFOs not preparing for Brexit - Deloitte survey) but this report from the ESAs is a reminder that the eurozone's financial problems have not gone away and are still a serious risk for corporates.
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